全球和中国风速变化和对风能影响的新认知.pdfVIP

Climate Change Research Letters 气候变化研究快报, 2016, 5(1), 41-47 Published Online January 2016 in Hans. /journal/ccrl /10.12677/ccrl.2016.51006 The Updated Understanding of the Change in Near-Surface and Upper Air Wind and Wind Energy 1 2 Cheng Chen , Guoyu Ren 1 Hubei Meteorological Information and Technological Support Center, Wuhan Hubei 2 Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing th th th Received: Jan . 13 , 2016; accepted: Jan . 24 , 2016; published: Jan. 29 , 2016 Copyright © 2016 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract The assessment of wind speed and energy change and the main results of IPCC (AR5), SRREN AND domestic researchers are reviewed in this paper. The first working group of IPCC (AR5) concluded that the surface wind speed decreased in low and mid-latitude areas while increasing in high-latitude areas including Arctic and Antarctic. There are few studies about the upper-air with systematic global trend analysis. The domestic studies expose that the near-surface and upper-air wind speed decreased in most parts of China except some places located in high-latitude or on the mountains, but the decrease tendency of the upper-air is much more inconspicuous than that of near-surface. Because lacking of the homogenized records, the confidence in both near-surface and upper-air wind speed trend is low. The SRREN considers that the climate change will change the quality of the wind power by changing the distribution and the yearly variation. But