刺激越多,问题越多txt（The more stimuli, the more questions, TXT）.docVIP

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刺激越多,问题越多txt（The more stimuli, the more questions, TXT）.doc

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刺激越多,问题越多txt（The more stimuli, the more questions, TXT）

刺激越多,问题越多txt（The more stimuli, the more questions, TXT） The more you stimulate, the more problems you have This article originates from new century magazine, the twenty-ninth issue of 2010, 2010, 07, 19, Caixin media magazine subscription Andy Xie The two bottom of the global economy has increasingly become the consensus. This has forced analysts and policymakers to debate whether a new round of stimulus is needed. The center of the discussion is in Washington, but it is likely to move to Beijing in the fourth quarter. Its market impact is delaying the rate hike time. Stagflation may also accelerate. High cost, little effect The stimulus package for the 2009 recession will only temporarily boost economic growth. The 2008 financial crisis exposed the profound structural problems of the global economy. The current downturn is a sign that the use of economic stimulus to solve structural problems is futile. However, perhaps most policymakers and economists believe that the two dip is the first round of stimulus is not large enough, so the need for a new round of stimulus. The first round of economic stimulus sent interest rates close to zero and led to deficits of more than 10% of GDP in many major economies. It did make the global economy rebound since the second quarter of 2009, but structural problems made growth difficult to sustain itself. I had expected the fed to raise interest rates in the second half of 2010. Now, I think it will wait until the beginning of 2011. This is because the two dip in the US housing market is earlier than I expected; two because the debt crisis in Europe has made the dollar stronger, providing more space for the fed to keep interest rates low. However, the pace of the Feds interest rate hike will not reverse the weakening trend of the US economy. This will only increase the pressure of future inflation. Many analysts and American policymakers have suggested another round of fiscal stimulus. However, the high deficit makes the governmen