上海城镇居民蔬菜消费特点及消费需求系统分析.pdfVIP

204 东农业科学 2013 第 23 期 上海市城镇居民蔬菜消费特点 及消费需求系统分析 1 2 1 唐娅楠 刘合光 1.中国农科院农业 济与发展研究所袁北京 100081 曰2.河北农业大学 济贸易学院袁河北 保定 071000 冤 摘要 采用统计学分析方法和扩展线性支出系统模型 ELES冤袁对上海市城镇家庭的蔬菜消费进行了系统分 析袁总结了 1995 以来上海市城镇居民蔬菜消费的特点袁估计了 ELES 模型的参数袁计算了主要食品的消费弹性系 数遥 研究发现院蔬菜和粮食收入弹性接近袁都是上海城镇居民的生活必需品袁其边际消费倾向远低于肉类曰蔬菜尧粮食 和肉禽蛋水产品三者之间是互补品的关系曰蔬菜等食品的消费受收入和自身价格影响较为明显遥 关键词 城镇居民曰蔬菜消费曰消费结 曰ELES 模型 中图分类号院F713.55 文献标识码 A 文章编号 1004-874载 2013冤23-0204-05 Systematic analysis on vegetables consumption characteristics and consumer demand of urban residents in Shanghai TANG Ya-nan1,2, LIU He-guang1 (1.Ins titute of A gric ultural Ec onomics and Dev e lop me nt, Chinese A cade my of A gric ultural Sc ie nce s , Be ij ing 100081, China; 2.Ec onomic and T rade College , Hebe i A gric ultural Univ e rs ity, Baoding 071000, China) A bstract: T he statistical analysis method and the extended linear expenditure system model (ELES) were used to analyze the vegetable consumption of urban residents in Shanghai, and sum up the characteristics of vegetable consumption of urban residents in Shanghai since 1995 on available data, then the parameters of ELES model were estimated, and calculated the consumption elasticity of maj or food. It was found out that the income elasticity of vegetables and grain were similar, they were all the life necessities of urban residents, the marginal propensity to consume was much lower than meat; these three kinds of food were complementary products; vegetables co