基于大数据的水环境风险业务化评价与预警研究-中国环境管理.pdfVIP

丨2017年第2期 基于大数据的水环境风险业务化评估与 预警研究 * 王永桂，夏晶晶，张万顺 ，张潇 （武汉大学资源与环境科学学院，武汉 430079 ） 摘  要 随着生态环境大数据的不断建设，国家级、流域级和行政区级别的大数据中心相继产生。快速、高效地 分析和利用实时产生、类型多样的环境大数据，提取环境大数据在风险评估与预警的价值，具有重要的 意义，也充满挑战。本文基于环境大数据的数据特点和不同层次的组织管理特征以及环境风险评估预警 的业务化需求，构建基于大数据的流域环境风险评估与预警技术及其业务化系统的体系、分析环境风险 智能识别模式、研究环境风险高效模拟预测和评估的方法，并提出一套满足各级管理部门需求，高效利 用环境大数据的多中心业务化系统。 关键词 大数据；风险评估；预警预测；业务化 中图分类号：X824；X52        文章编号：1674-6252（2017）02-0043-08 文献标识码：A                 DOI：10.16868/ki.1674-6252.2017.02.043 Research of Water Environment Risk Assessment and Early Warning Based on Big Data * WANG Yonggui, XIA Jinging ZHANG Wanshun , ZHANG Xiao ， (School of Resources and Environmental Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079) Abstract: With the continuous construction of ecological environment big data, national, basin and administrative level of big data centers appeared one after another. It is of great significance and challenge to quickly and efficiently analyze and make use of the real-time generation, and various types of environmental big data, extract its value in environmental risk assessment and forecasting. Based on the characteristics of ecological environment big data, its organization and management at different levels and the operational requirements of water environmental risk assessment and early warning, this paper built the big data based operational system for basin water environmental risk assessment and early warning. Intelligent identification model for environmental risk and the method of efficient simulation and prediction of en