基于CNS定位误差的侧向碰撞风险模型.PDFVIP

第9 卷 第6 期 交 通 运 输 工 程 学 报 V ol19 No1 6 2009 年12 月 Jour nal of T r affic and T r an sportation Engineer ing Dec. 2009 : 167 1- 1637 2009) 06- 0 110-04 CN S 张兆宁, 沈金炜, 刘计民 , 300300) : 为了有效地确定航路 全间隔与评估碰撞风险, 研究了基于通信导航监视 CN S) 定位误 差的侧向碰撞风险问题运用多维随机变量协方差矩阵, 给出了CN S 性能环境下侧向定位误差分 布函数, 建立了给定间隔下基于CN S 定位误差的侧向碰撞风险模型, 并对侧向碰撞风险进行了评 估计算计算结果表明: 某航路侧向碰撞风险为41 8 @ 10- 13 , 在 全目标水平5 . 0 @ 10- 9 之内, 因 此, 该航路在现有的CN S 性能环境下满足 全目标水平要求 : 空中交通控制; 全目标水平; 侧向碰撞风险; 定位误差; 间隔标准 : V 328 : A Lateral collision risk model based on CNSposition error ZH A N G Zhao- ning, SH EN Jin-w ei, L IU J-i m in Scho ol of A ir T raff ic M anag ement , Civil A viation U niver sity of China, T ianj in 300 300, China) Abstract: In order t o conf irm the saf e separat ion of routes and evaluat e the co llision risk eff ect ively, t he lat eral collision risk based o n CN S co mmunication , navigat io n and surv eillance) posit ion error w as studied. T he mult-i dimensio nal r ando m v ar iable cov ar iance m at rix w as applied t o gain t he dist ribut ion funct ion of t he lat eral posit ion error under CN S environment, t hen t he lat er al co llision risk model under CN S posit ion err or w as est ablished, and an ex ample w as calculat ed. A naly sis result show s t hat t he lat eral collision risk of st udied ro ut e is 41 8 @ 10- 13 , w hich is in t he safet y targ et lev el of 5. 0 @ 10- 9 , so t he rout e under ex ist ing CN S environment is saf e. 2 f ig s, 12 refs . Key words: air t raf fic cont rol; targ et level of saf ety ; lat er al collisio n r isk ; posit ion err or; separat ion st andard Author resume: Z