山东菏泽高温天气变化特征及灾害评估.pdfVIP

Climate Change Research Letters 气候变化研究快报, 2015, 4(4), 179-186 Published Online October 2015 in Hans. /journal/ccrl /10.12677/ccrl.2015.44020 Variation Characteristics of High Temperature Weather and Its Hazard Assessment in Heze of Shandong Province * Kun Dou , Guodong Xu, Dong Dong, Cuifeng Sun Heze Meteorological Bureau of Shandong Province, Heze Shandong * Email: hzdk1980@126.com th th th Received: Sep. 16 , 2015; accepted: Oct. 5 , 2015; published: Oct. 8 , 2015 Copyright © 2015 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract Based on the high temperature data in Heze from 1961 to 2014, the distribution and variation characteristics of high temperature weather were analyzed, and the arrangement and the class to the high temperature were set up by the methods of high temperature anomaly index. The results showed that the change trend of high temperature days was not obvious in recent 54 years, while the decadal change presented “more-less-more” characteristic. The variation characteristics of high temperature days were basically identical with extreme high temperature. The high temper- ature and high temperature weather process were all mainly appeared in the June to July, mostly in June; the trend of high temperature days had increased in June, July and September in since 2000. The result could objectively reflect the variation characteristics of high temperature weath- er from the comprehensive evaluation of high temperature disaster risk level with high tempera- ture days, duration