【精选】电气技术2015年7期----陕北地区家庭分布式光伏发电项目的投资分析.pdfVIP

陕北地区家庭分布式光伏发电项目的 投资分析 刘 渊 （陕西地方电力（集团）有限公司榆横工业区供电分公司，陕西榆林 719000 ） 摘要 本文以陕北地区5kW 家庭分布式光伏发电项目投资为例，首先对各种鼓励支持政策、 补贴政策和并网政策，光伏的国家规划以及陕西省内的应用进行分析概述，之后论述了5kW 分布 式光伏发电系统组成，并对其发电量进行计算，在此基础上，计算了建设系统投资成本及现金流， 最后，重点采用敏感性分析法分析了初始成本等 3 种变量对投资净现值的影响。文章最后给出投 资分布式光伏电站的有关建议。 关键词：分布式光伏发电；政策；补贴标准；投资成本；现金流；敏感性分析 Financial Analysis of Distributed Photovoltaic Power Generation Project of Northern Shaanxi Area Family Liu Yuan (Shaanxi Regional Electric Power Group Co., Ltd, Yuheng Industrial Area Power Supply Branch, Yulin, Shaanxi 719000) Abstract In this paper, taking northern Shanxi family distributed 5kW PV power generation project investment as an example, first of all to encourage and support policy, subsidy policy and the policy analysis of photovoltaic grid connected, the national planning and application in Shaanxi Province, then discusses the composition of 5kW distributed photovoltaic power generation system, calculate and its generating capacity, on the basis of this, the construction of the system of investment cost and cash flow, the calculation of the final, using sensitivity analysis method, the influence of focus on the initial cost and other 3 kinds of variables on the net present value of investment. Northern Shaanxi area in this paper distributed photovoltaic power plant investment advice. Keywords ：distributed photovoltaic power generation ；policy ；subsidy standard ；the cost of investment ；cash flow ；sensitivity analysis 光伏发电是我国重要的战略性新兴产业，大力 并