环境保护与可持续发展2 可持续发展的理论与实施.pptx

;课件下载邮箱;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;May 9th, 2012;Humanity has a forty-year window to avoid the most serious negative consequences of its decades-long overconsumption splurge ;Global GDP will grow, but much slower than generally expected because of slow productivity growth in mature economies, and lack of take-off in the 186 poorer countries.;Global energy use will reach a peak in 2040, because of continued increase in energy efficiency CO2 emissions will peak in 2030, because of a shift toward low-carbon sources of power and heat. Nevertheless, CO2 concentrations will grow, and the global average temperature will pass the danger threshold of +2 C by 2050, and peak at 2.8 C in 2080, which could trigger self-reinforcing “run-away” warming with a possible collapse in the second half of the 21st century The United States will experience the greatest stagnation, while the process of stagnation will occur more gradually in the other OECD countries. China and Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa and ten leading emerging economies will progress, but this will still leave 3 billion people in severe poverty. ;;;;;;;http://conspect.nl/pdf/Our_Common_Future-Brundtland_Report_1987.pdf;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;