2016上外MTI考研真题.docxVIP

I. Cloze. (共15个空，一空两分，共30分)卷子上的标题是Here’s why the?“American century”?will survive rise of ChinaThe American century will survive the rise of ChinaJoseph Nye? ? March 25, 2015Entropy is a greater challenge than Chinese growth, writes Joseph NyeIn 1941 Time editor Henry Luce proclaimed?“the American century”. Some now see this coming to an end as?1.??of the nation’s economic and political decline. Many point to the example of US failure to convince its allies to stay out of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, Beijing’s rival to the World Bank; but this was?2.?an example of a faulty decision than evidence of decline, which raises the question of what is the natural life cycle of a nation.A century is generally the limit for a human organism but countries are social constructs. Rome did not collapse until more than three centuries after it reached its apogee of power in 117AD. After American independence in 1776 Horace Walpole, the British politician, lamented that his nation had been reduced to the level of Sardinia, just as Britain was about to enter the industrial revolution that?3.??its second century as a global power.Any effort at assessing American power in the coming decades should?4.?how many earlier efforts have been wide of the mark. It is chastening to remember how wildly?5.?US estimates of Soviet power in the 1970s and of Japanese power in the 1980s were. Today some see the Chinese as 10ft tall and proclaim this “the Chinese century”.China’s size and relatively rapid economic growth will bring it closer to the US in terms of its power resources in the next few decades. But this does not necessarily mean it will surpass the US in military, economic and soft power.6.??China suffers no big domestic political setback, many projections are simple linear extrapolations of growth rates that are likely to slow in the future.?7. ,?economic projections are one dimensional. They ignore US military and soft power advantages, such as the desire of students around t