杭州地铁5号线一期工程经济费用效益分析TheEconomicCost-Benefit.PDFVIP

杭州地铁5 号线一期工程经济费用效益分析 刘 飞1 （中铁第四勘察设计院集团有限公司，线路站场设计研究处，湖北武汉 430063 ） 摘要：为了全面反映城市轨道交通项目的经济价值，以杭州地铁5 号线一期工程为例，运用费用-效益分析方法， 从经济费用估算、经济效益估算2 个部分，工程建设费用、运营维护费用、诱发效益、节约时间效益、减少疲劳 效益、减少交通事故效益和其他效益等7 个方面，进行判断项目的经济可行性，并对项目经济效益影响显著的客 运量与土建固定资产投资两因素进行敏感性分析，判断项目的抗风险能力。 关键词：道路工程；地铁；经济费用；经济效益；项目决策 The Economic Cost-Benefit Analysis on the First-phase Project of Hangzhou Metro Line 5 LIU Fei (Track Alignment and Station Yard Design Research Department, China Railway Siyuan Survey Design Group Co., Ltd., Wuhan 430063, China) Abstract: In order to reflect overall economic value of urban rail transit project, in this paper, took the First-phase Project of Hangzhou Metro Line 5 for example, used cost-benefit analysis method from economic cost estimation and benefit estimation, which consisted of seven major aspects, i.e. engineering construction cost, operation maintenance cost, induced benefit, saving time benefit, reducing tired benefit, reducing traffic accident benefit, and other benefit, to determine the economic feasibility of the project, in addition , used passenger traffic and construction investment in fixed assets which made a remarkable impact on the project economic benefit to sensitivity analysis ,finally, according to the sensitivity analysis result , determine the ability to resist risks of the project ,then, the economic feasibility and the ability to resist risks of the project will take as the main basis of the project decision. Keywords: road engineering, metro, economic cost, economic benefit, project decision 1 引言 《市政公用设施建设项目经济评价方法与参数（城市轨道交通篇）》（以下简称《经济评价方法与参数 （城轨篇）》）对项目经济费用估算和经济效益估算进行了阐述，并对相关参数（如社会折现率、汇率影子 换算系数、客流往返系数及提高的劳动生产率等）的