基于社会核算矩阵的厦门产出与居民收入乘数分析.pdfVIP

25 2 Vol.25, No12 20082 Statistical Research Feb. 2008 基于社会核算矩阵的厦门市产出 * 与居民收入乘数分析 :基于厦门市2002 年投入产出表及其他相关数 , 笔者构建了厦门市2002 年的宏观社会核算矩阵, 并对居民账户进行了细分。在此基础上, 利用基于社会核算矩阵的SAM乘数模型, 本文考察了各类产业在外生冲 击下的产出效应和居民收入效应, 并分析了外生冲击及转移支付对居民收入分配结构的影响。结果显示, 产出乘 数和居民收入乘数较高的行业分别是那些与其他行业具有较高关联度的行业和对社会就业带动作用较大的劳动 密集型行业; 厦门市当前经济的结构和转移分配都有利于改善当前居民收入差距过大的现状, 但前者的效应不大。 :社会核算矩阵;SAM 乘数; 收入分配 :F2212133 :A : 1002- 4565(2008)02- 0088- 05 The Analysis of Sectoral Output and Household Income Multipliers Based on Social Accounting Matrix of Xiamen City Wei Weixian Zeng Jianwu Yuan engfei Abstract: Based on the input2output table of Xiamen city in 2002 and other related data, this paper constructs a social accountingmatrix (SAM) . In this SAM, we classify the urban householdsp accounts by their income levels. Further, we study the output and household income impacts of each sector under exogenous shocks using SAM multiplier model, and also analyze the impacts of exogenous shock andtransfer payment on the household income distribution structure. The results show that the sectors with higher output and household income multipliers are those which have higher association with others or labor2 density sectors; the Xiamen cityps current economic structure and transfer payment mode are in favor of improving the unequal household income situation at present. However, the formerps effect is not large. Key ords: Social accounting matrix; SAM multiplier; Income distribution 社会核算矩阵(Social AccountingMatrix, SAM) 作 越性质, 自20世纪60 年代诞生以来, 随着理论的不 为对社会经济体系各