含H2S气井钻井作业多因素模糊识别及定量计算的风险评价方法.docVIP

含H2S气井钻井作业多因素模糊识别及定量计算的风险评价方法 段永鸿 中国石油和化学工业联合会 X 关注成功！ 加关注后您将方便地在 我的关注中得到本文献的被引频次变化的通知！ 新浪微博 腾讯微博 人人网 开心网 豆瓣网 网易微博 摘????要： 含H2S气井的溢流、井喷等事故会对人员、装备及周边环境造成严重影响, 现有的含H2S气井钻井过程安全风险评价方法存在考虑因素不够全面、分类方法不够系统等问题。为此, 结合地质力学、地质构造、工程设计参数、腐蚀与H2S溢出等安全作业影响因素, 并考虑以上因素发生的概率及影响程度, 建立了钻井作业安全风险的多因素模糊识别优化及定量计算的方法, 最后利用该方法开展了现场实例应用, 定量计算了实例井的钻井安全综合风险。结果表明:该方法风险评价结果与实际情况相符, 可以用于含H2S气井钻井作业安全风险评价, 评价结果有助于指导安全高效钻井作业。 关键词： 含H2S气井; 钻井安全; 风险评价; 模糊优化; 作者简介：段永鸿, 硕士, 工程师。 收稿日期：2017-08-21 基金：国家科技重大专项 (2016ZX05017-003) Risk assessment method of drilling operation in gas well containing H2S based on multifactor fuzzy identification and quantitative calculation DUAN Yonghong China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation; Abstract： The overflow and blowout accidents of gas well containing H2S will cause serious influence on the personnel, equipments and surrounding environment, and the current risk assessment methods on the drilling safety of gas well containing H2S have the problems that the considering factors are not comprehensive enough and the classification methods are not systematic enough. Therefore, a multifactor fuzzy identification optimization and quantitative calculation method of the drilling safety risk was established by combining with the influence factors of safety operation such as the geological mechanics, geological structure, engineering design parameters, corrosion, H2S spillover and other factors, with considering the occurrence probability and influence degree of the above factors, then the field case application was carried out by using this method, and the comprehensive risk of drilling safety for a practical well was calculated quantitatively. The results showed that the risk assessment results of this method was consistent with the practical situation, so this method can be applied in the risk assessment on drilling safety of gas well containing H2S, and the assessment results contribute to guide the safe and efficient drilling operation. Keyword： gas we