棉花品种区域试验适宜试验点数量的抽样估计.pdfVIP

花 学 报 Cotton Science 20 13 25 渊1冤院57~62 花品种区域试验适宜试验点数量的抽样估计 1 2 乃银 金石桥 1. 苏省农业科学院经济作物研究所/ 农业部长江下游棉花与油菜重点实验室袁南京210014曰2.全国农业技术推广服务 中心袁北京100 125 冤 摘要院 基于长江流域国家棉花区域试验的对照品种泗棉3 号尧 湘杂棉2 号尧 湘杂棉8 号和鄂杂棉10 号在 2000 2011 年期间84～270 次试验中早熟性尧农艺性状尧产量性状和纤维品质性状表现袁构建了对照品种抽样 总体袁采用随机抽样方法估计了在不同精确度水平下鉴别棉花品种主要性状表现所需要的试验点数量袁旨在 为长江流域棉区国家棉花区域试验的试验点数量设置提供理论依据袁并为其它棉区乃至其它作物区域试验中 适宜试验点数量的估计提供参考方法遥 研究结果表明院试验点数量的需求与目的性状选择及变异度密切相关袁 皮棉产量的表型标准差最高袁在同等精确 水平下需要的试点数量也最多遥 目前袁长江流域棉花区域试验设置 18 个试点袁对皮棉产量的估计精确度为90% 曰增加 16 个试点袁估计精确度将提高到93% 曰而随后再增加试点 数量对提高估计精确 收效甚微遥 关键词院棉花( L.) 曰区域试验曰样本容量曰试验点曰估计精确 中图分类号院S562.03 文献标志码院A 文章编号院1002-7807(2013)01-0057-06 1 2 XU Nai-yin , JIN Shi-qiao (1. 210014, ; 2. 100125, ) The sampling populations of four check varieties, namely, Simian 3, Xiangzamian 2, Xiangzamian 8 and Ezamian 10 were constructed and analyzed based on their performances in earliness, yield, fiber quality and agronomic traits in 84 to 270 time tests in national cotton regional trials in the Yangtze River Valley during 2000 201 1 period. And the adequate and neces- sary quantity of regional trial sites to identify cotton main characteristics were estimated using random sampling method within the cultivar population in accordance with the responding sampling estimation accuracy ratio, so as to investigate the theory and methodology in determining the suitable quantity of cotton regional trial locations in the Yangtze River Valley, and also act as a useful demonstration for other cotton planting regions and even other crops in regional trial sites determinat