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Morphometric analysis of relic landslides using detailed landslide distribution精选.pdf

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Morphometric analysis of relic landslides using detailed landslide distribution精选

1 Morphometric analysis of relic landslides using detailed landslide distribution 2 maps: Implications for forecasting travel distance of future landslides 3 a b 4 Tsuyoshi Hattanji* , Hiromu Moriwaki 5 6 a Graduate School of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba, 305– 7 8572, Japan 8 b National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED), 9 305–0006, Japan 10 * Corresponding author. Tel: +81 29 853 5687; fax: +81 29 853 6879 11 E-mail address : hattan@geoenv.tsukuba.ac.jp (T. Hattanji) 12 13 Abstract 14 15 This study analyzed the morphometry of relic landslides in four mountainous areas in 16 Japan. Using detailed landslide maps issued by the National Research Institute for 17 Earth Science and Disaster Prevention of Japan, the mobility of 338 relic landslides 18 was evaluated based on the H/L ratio, i.e., the equivalent coefficient of friction. The 2 19 H/L ratio strongly correlates with the initial slope, tanθ (R = 0.78–0.88). The H/L r 20 ratio and tanθ of recent disaster-causing landslides within the past few decades were r 21 also measured in each investigated area. The data of recent landslides correspond to 22 the 95% lower prediction limit of the tanθ–H/L regression line for relic landslides. r 23 This result implies that morphometric analysis of relic landslides around an unstable 24 mass allows for forecasting of travel distance of the unstable mass. 25 26 Keywords: Landslide map, Morphometric ana