稳定政策Stabilization PolicyPPT.ppt

CHAPTER FOURTEEN 稳定政策Stabilization Policy;学习目的;Question 1:;U.S. Real GDP Growth Rate, 1960:1-2001:4;Arguments for active policy;自动稳定器;预测宏观经济;The LEI index and Real GDP, 1960s;The LEI index and Real GDP, 1970s;The LEI index and Real GDP, 1980s;The LEI index and Real GDP, 1990s;预测1982年衰退的错误;The Lucas Critique;An example of the Lucas Critique;Question 2:;Rules and Discretion: basic concepts;Arguments for Rules;Arguments for Rules;Examples of Time-Inconsistent Policies;Examples of Time-Inconsistent Policies;货币政策规则 ;Monetary Policy Rules ;Monetary Policy Rules ;Monetary Policy Rules ;The Taylor Rule;The Taylor Rule;The Taylor Rule;The Taylor Rule;格力斯潘遵循泰勒规则吗Does Greenspan follow the Taylor Rule?;央行独立性Central Bank Independence;Inflation and Central Bank Independence ;Chapter summary;Chapter summary;