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3G Mobility The “Evolutionary Route to Wireless Data
Access to the Global Internet: Which Technology Will Win? Evolution 3G builds on existing networks Huge volumes Global spectrum Separate network Optimized for voice Old technology Revolution IP networks Optimized air interfaces Design for converged traffic New technology for low cost No global spectrum or approval No market momentum Timing? Industry Directions for Networking Cellular Telecom Approach Efforts to define wireless data networking standard (General Packet Radio Service - GPRS) begin before full impact of Internet explosion is felt Internet-Based Approach Use Internet standards for networking and mobility with extensions to interoperate with cellular air interfaces (e.g., GPRS, CDMA2000) 3G Mobility: The “Evolutionary” Route to Wireless Data Paul Mankiewich and Rich Howard Bell Labs, Lucent Technology 3G Cellular Systems:The Enabler of the Global Internet Migration of Digital Cellular Systems Mobility Subscriber Projections: Analyst View The Voice/Multimedia Revenue Gap ($ Millions) Consumer Cocktail: DoCoMo I-mode I Mode in Japan: 6M Subscribers in Under 1 Year (and the Rate is Increasing) Wonder Swan Wireless Data in the Japan Market Mobility: Data vs Voice Almost all traffic (and revenue) is voice BUT, mobile data is growing much faster than voice US is behind Europe and Japan Japan is approaching 50% data traffic Today systems are circuit switched and spectrally inefficient 2G systems = ~$600/hour for video or $60/hour for MP3 3G systems have IP backbones Lower cost per bit Easy service creation What will be the services? Who will pay the bills? Migration of Digital Cellular Systems Mobility Subscriber Projections: by Technology 3G Data Options Transition to Next Generation Networks Docomo Pocketboard Can 3G Deliver?:UMTS Capacity Estimates Overall about 6x increase over IS-95 for voice 3x comes from bandwidth--5 MHz vs 1.25 MHz 2x from modulation, coherent detection, and signal processing tricks. For user rates up to ~128 kbps (BER=~1e-4
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