2017年夏季北半球大气环流特征及对我国天气气候的影响1郑志海王.DOC

2017年夏季北半球大气环流特征及对我国天气气候的影响 郑志海 王永光 国家气候中心，中国气象局气候研究开放实验室，北京 100081 联系电话要 2017年夏季（2017年6月至8月），全国平均降水量348.6毫米，较常年同期（322.6毫米）偏多8.1%，呈现南、北两条多雨带。全国平均气温21.7℃，较常年同期（20.9℃）偏高0.8℃，为1961年以来第二高。东亚夏季风偏弱，西太副高显著偏强，脊线位置偏南，菲律宾附近对流层低层为反气旋环流控制；欧亚中高纬呈现“两槽一脊”环流型，乌拉尔山地区高度场为负距平，高压脊偏弱，贝加尔湖地区为正距平控制，日本附近高度场为负距平。低纬度和中高纬度的环流配置有利于冷暖气流在我国长江以南交汇，水汽通量辐合偏强，主要多雨带位于我国长江以南地区，降水显著偏多。西太副高的年代际增强和赤道中东太平洋由冷水向暖水发展是多雨带偏南的重要原因。 关键词： 夏季降水，西太平洋副热带高压，位相转换，年代际变化 Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation Characteristics in summer 2017 and Its Impact on Weather and Climate in China Zheng Zhihai Wang Yongguang Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration，Beijing 100081 Abstract: During the summer of 2017 (June to August 2017), the average precipitation over China is 348.6 mm，which is 8.1% more than the climate mean(332.6mm). Two rainfall belts were observed over eastern China. The average temperature in summer is 21.7℃, which is 0.8℃ higher than the climate mean(20.9℃). The summer 2017 was the second warmest since 1961. The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is weaker than normal, while the west Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) is significantly stronger than normal with southward ridge position. The anomalous Philippine Sea anticyclone controls the lower troposphere. The ”-+-” circulation pattern located in Eurasian mid- high latitude, with negative anomalous over Ural mountain and near Japan and positive anomalous over Baikal region. Circulation configuration of low latitudes and mid-high latitudes result in anomalous convergence of moisture flux and more precipitation over the south of the Yangtze River. Further analysis indicate that the interdecadal strengthening of west Pacific subtropical high and the sea surface temperature anomalies over the central and eastern tropical Pacific changed from negative to positive are the important cause for the significantly more precipitation over the south of the Yangtze River. Keywords: Summer preci