[自然科学]通量不确定性.pdf

1 Uncertainty estimates for eddy-covariance fluxes 2 Dean Vickers 3 College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, 4 U.S.A. 5 Mathias Gockede and Beverly E. Law 6 College of Forestry, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, U.S.A. 7 17-April-2009 8 Corresponding author address: Dean Vickers, College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, 9 COAS Admin Bldg 104, Oregon State University, Corvallis OR 97331-5503, U.S.A. 10 E-mail: vickers@ 11 Abstract 12 An alternative approach is presented to approximate the uncertainty in CO , latent heat and 2 13 sensible heat fluxes from eddy-covariance measurements. The nocturnal uncertainty estimates 14 tend to be smaller for the alternate approach due to differences in the treatment of the submeso 15 motions. For homogeneous conditions, the relative flux uncertainty is approximately the same 16 during the day and night, possibly due to offsetting effects. The daytime relative uncertainty is 17 half as large at a simple maize site (20%) compared to more complex forest sites (40%) possibly 18 due to the more homogeneous vegetation, flat terrain and lower measurement height. Modest 19 surface heterogeneity appears to approximately double the relative flux uncertainty. Monte 20 Carlo simulations using the hourly flux uncertainties show that the relative uncertainty of the 21 cumulative annual CO flux is only 2%, indicating that on annual timescales, the uncertainty as- 2 22 sociated with random errors is probably small compared to other potential sources of systematic 23 error.