高校图书馆的动态借阅规则实现.docVIP

2010年第三届“ScienceWord杯”数学中国 数学建模网络挑战赛 题 目 高校图书馆的动态借阅规则实现 关 键 词 图书流转周期 动态借阅规则 大数定律 AHP 夹角余弦复权法 模糊综合评价 动态仿真 摘 要： 本文就高校图书馆的图书超期现象，在分析超期原因的基础上，以提高馆藏资源利用率为核心，根据借阅图书的类型以及所借图书的预约情况，建立图书流转周期模型，达到动态地调整借书时间的目的。 在问题一中，首先通过对超期数据的分析，在整群抽样的基础上结合系统抽样，然后运用EXCEL对其进行数据分析，统计出各类图书的超期次数。最后利用大数定律，计算出各类图书的超期概率。 在问题二中，首先运用问题一中的模型，结合所借图书的预约情况，以提高图书的利用率的为原则，分析得出题目中的借阅规则的不合理性。其次，在MATLAB编程实现AHP的基础上，结合夹角余弦赋权法，在确定出各个评价指标在决定读者最终借阅时限所占的最优权重（超期程度指标，读者诚信度指标，书的预约指标）=（0.4415，0.0536，0.5049）的条件下，建立图书周转模型，即动态借阅规则。最后，在VC++环境下，运用C语言完成动态借阅规则的仿真，实现图书利用率的最优化。 参赛队号 1217 所选题目 C  英文摘要 Based on the analysis of the extended reasons to improve the collection of resource utilization phenomenon of university library books overdue, according to the type of lending books and the books of the booking situation through the establishment of library circulation cycle model, to dynamically adjust the purpose of library time. In question 1, firstly,through the extended data analysis, cluster sampling, systematic sampling , and then use EXCEL data analysis tool ,get a statistics of the number of all overdue books. Finally, use the large numbers theory to calculate the probability of various types of overdue books. In question 2, firstly, of the use of the model which in question 1, with the appointment by the books, so as to improve the utilization of books for the principle of the loan obtained the title of the rule is unreasonable. Second, programming in MATLAB based on the AHP, combined with angle cosine weighting method, each evaluation in determining the final reader in determining the optimal share of lending weight limit (extended level indicators, readers credibility indicators, book an appointment index) = (0.4415,0.0536,0.5049) conditions, the establishment of books revolving model, that is, dynamic lending rules. Finally, in VC + + environment, using C language to complete the simulation of dynamic lending rules, to achieve optimum