EP2 WP4 UG4 - World Meteorological Organization：EP2 WP4 ug4 -世界气象组织.ppt

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2018-04-17 发布于江西
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EP2 WP4 UG4 - World Meteorological Organization：EP2 WP4 ug4 -世界气象组织.ppt

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? Crown copyright Met Office ? Crown copyright Met Office ? Crown copyright Met Office ? Crown copyright Met Office ? Crown copyright Met Office WMO CBS operational collection/display of seasonal (and sub-seasonal) forecasts Richard Graham, Met Office Hadley Centre. With acknowledgements to all GPCs, LC-LRFMME, LC-SVSLRF and members of the WMO Expert Team on Extended and Long-range Forecasting (ET-ELRF) WMO/THORPEX/WCRP sub-seasonal to seasonal implementation planning meeting, WMO HQ, Geneva, 2-3 December 2011 ? Crown copyright Met Office Content CBS operational seasonal (and monthly) data exchange and products – GPCs, Lead Centres Input on: Intra-seasonal applications Future CBS operational extended-range data exchange (in ET-ELRF terms of reference) ? Crown copyright Met Office WMO CBS coordination of centres producing long-range forecasts:Global Producing Centres (GPCs) 12 WMO-designated GPCs centres adhering to agreed procedures/standards in LRF – forming an integral part of the WMO GDPFS 2 Lead Centres, facilitating user access to GPC products Lead Centre for Long-range Forecast Multi-model Ensembles (LC-LRFMME) – jointly operated by KMA/NOAA NCEP Lead Centre for the Standard Verification System for Long-range Forecasts (LC-SVSLRF) – jointly operated by BoM/MSC Aim of this GDPFS infrastructure: improve access and usability of global LRF products to aid production of regional/national climate services Growing use at RCOFs and NCOFs ? Crown copyright Met Office GPC designation criteria have fixed production cycles and time of issuance; provide an agreed minimum set of long-range forecast products, 2m temp, precipitation, SST (averages of at least 1-month); any lead-time between 0 and 4 months. provide an agreed set of forecast quality measures (WMO Standard Verification System for LRF); provide up-to-date information on forecast methodology used; make products accessible to users (through website and Lead Centres) GPC name Centre System Conf