最新天津市能源消耗碳足迹影响因素研究.pdf

ABSTRACT On the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change in Copenhagen in 2009, Chinese government promised that the carbon emission intensity of China in 2020 would be reduced by 40%-45% compared with the carbon emission intensity in 2005. This reflects our sense of responsibility as a big country. However, China is in the stage of rapid development of urbanization, industrialization. So the emission reduction target would be very challenging. Every province has to carry out positive actions to achieve the carbon reduction targets. Tianjin is the economic center of China, making large carbon emissions. Tianjin carbon emission reduction effect has important implications for the goal of carbon reduction. In this paper, the impacts of the carbon footprint of Tianjin factors were intensively analyzed to provide a theoretical basis for Tianjin to establish emission reduction policies. The main contents are as follows: (1) Influencing factor analysis on Tianjin carbon footprint based on the LMDI method. First, the accounting of the carbon footprint of Tianjin in 2001-2009 was given, and then the ecological pressure was calculated and analyzed. Then with LMDI method, changes of carbon footprint of Tianjin as a whole and 34 industrial sectors was decomposed into carbon footprint factor, energy intensity, energy structure, economic structure and economic development as the five factors. According to the factor decomposition results, the various factors for the changes in the role of the carbon footprint were determined. The results showed that the economic development of Tianjin increased carbon footprint as the most important contributing factor, and energy in