初步统计.doc

2016年开放室论文目录 Ben Tian and Wansuo Duan, 2016: Comparison of the initial errors most likely to cause a spring predictability barrier for two types of El Nino events. Climate Dynamics. 47: 779-792. Ben Tian and Wansuo Duan, 2016: Comparison of constant and time-variant optimal forcing approaches in El Ni?o simulations by using the Zebiak-Cane model. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,33:685-694. Bo Lu and Hongli Rn*, 2016: Improving ENSO periodicity simulation by adjusting cumulus entrainment in BCC_CSMs. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans,76, 127-140. Bo Lu,Hongli Rn*, 2016: SST‐forced interdecadal deepening of the winter India‐Burma Trough since 1950s Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2016,121,2719–2731. Ren, Hong-Li*, Jie Wu, Chong-Bo Zhao et al., MJO ensemble prediction in BCC-CSM1.1(m) using different initialization schemes. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2015,9(1): 60-65,doi:10.10802015.1116217.（2015年度未收录） Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Ben Tian, and Adam A. Scaife. 2016: Distinct persistence barriers in two types of ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters,2016,43:10973-10979. 任宏利*,刘颖,左金清,陆波,田奔,金飞飞,万江华. 2016:国家气候中心新一代ENSO预测系统及其对2014/2016年超强厄尔尼诺事件的预测. 气象, 42(5):521-531. 任宏利,沈雨旸.2016: MJO对我国天气气候影响的新事实. 气象科技进展,,6(3)97-105. 刘颖,任宏利,张培群,贾小龙等, 2016: 利用高原积雪信号改进我国南方夏季降水预测的新方法及其在2014年降水预测中的应用试验. 大气科学, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895. 1605.16104. Zhou F., H. L. Ren, X. F. Xu, and et al. 2016: Understanding positive feedback between PNA and synoptic eddies by eddy structure decomposition method. Clim .Dyn., 2016. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3304-3 吴捷,任宏利*,赵崇博,张培群,武于洁. 2016: 国家气候中心MJO监测预测业务产品研发及应用. 应用气象学报, 27(6):641-653. 吴捷,许小峰,金飞飞,任宏利, 2016: 斜压基本气流对东亚夏季风区气旋扰动低频发展影响的数值模拟研究. 地球物理学报, 2016,59(4):1222-1234. 程娅蓓,任宏利*,谭桂容, 2016: 东亚夏季风模式跨季预测的EOF-相似误差订正. 应用气象学报, 27(3):285-292. 沈雨旸,任宏利*,李维京,张玉洁,左金清. 2016: 我国南方夏季低频降水与热带大气季节内振荡传播的关系研究. 热带气象学报, 32(1):31-41. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Bingyi Wu and Weijing Li. 2016: Predictability of winter temperature in China from previo