基于可靠性的热网结构及其输送备用能力的研究-供热、供燃气、通风及空调工程专业论文.docx

AbstractThe evaluation of heat-supply network based on reliability is a crossed subject task, which involved probability theory, stochastic process theory and decision-making theory. The invalidation phan of heating system presents a perplexing evolvement process differ from the network form and its scale. It is hard to analyze and distinguish the failure pattern of components during its disabled process. With the centralized heating system becoming more mature, the foundation of synthetic reliability evaluating system and design mode of large-scale heat-supply network with high reliability are in advance application project provided with important portentous signification and economic values which cry for being solved. Thus it also possesses long-term social-economic benefits and far-ranging application foreground. By establishing a whole reliability index evaluating system, this paper promotes the optimal design method of large-scale centralized heat-supply system.Based on study of reliability related to heat-supply network in Russia, this paper establishes the reliability index system. Combining with the calculating pipe network, a reliability computing method of heat-supply network and the partition principle of equivalent zone of tree-shaped network and ring-shaped network are advanced by analyzing the logical relationship of its components. Associating with the software of valves shutoff under accident state, this paper writes a reliability index computing program—HeatNetCAD, which can be operated in Autocad environment tools by using secondary development tools--ObjectARX. The HeatNetCAD program can achieve the function of design, analysis, optimization and data update.According to the characteristic of failure occurring at heat-supply network, the diversity of different city on failure repairing level is analyzed, and the method of using failure repairing time zone for different pipe diameter as a foundation of reliability calculation of heat-supply network