基于粒子群优化算法的电力市场发电企业竞价策略研究.doc

摘 要 随着我国电力市场改革的不断深入，发电市场率先引入竞争，以降低发电成本，提高电力市场运行效率。在此背景下，对竞争对手报价策略以及电力市场未来运行趋势进行准确预测，并在此分析判断基础上，结合自身情况做出最合理、最优化的策略选择，就成为当前发电厂商迫切需要解决的重要课题。对发电市场中发电厂商的竞价行为进行研究，一方面能够为发电厂商提供一定的理论指导，从而使其理性、高效的参与电力市场竞争，另一方面，对电力厂商竞价行为的分析有助于管理者分析市场行为，对电力市场中政策和规范的制定提供一定的参考依据。 论文介绍了发电厂商竞价策略，并指出基于优化算法的竞价行为分析在发电厂商竞价分析中的重要地位。论文还介绍了粒子群优化算法基本原理及其经典改进算法，还根据发电厂商竞价策略的具体情况，提出了几种改进粒子群优化算法。最后，论文基于发电厂商竞价模型，应用论文提出的改进粒子群优化算法解决具体的发电厂商竞价策略问题，并对应用结果进行对比分析，验证了论文工作的可行性和实用性。 关键词：发电厂商；竞价策略；改进粒子群优化算法；竞价模型 Abstract With the development of the reform of Chines power market,the competion has been introduced into generation market in order to reduce the cost of power generation and improve the efficiency of the operation of power market. In this context,it is very important to accurately predict the bidding strategies of competitors and the farther development of power market to make the reasonable,rational and optimal strategy choice. The research of the bidding behavior of firms in generation market can provide guideline to power suppliers for their rational and effcient market competion,on the other hand,can help the analyse of market behaviores for supervisors and offer reference to policies and standards making. By introducing the bidding strategies of competitors,it can improve the important position of optimization algorithm in the analysis research. The paper also describes the basic principles of particle swarm optimization algorithm and its improved algorithms,and analysis its feasibility and advantages of the application in bidding strategies. By analysis the specific circumstances of bidding strategies,two new improved particle swarm optimization are given. Finally,based on the power generation companies bidding model,the two new improved particle swarm optimization algorithm are used to solve the bidding strategies and the results are analyzed to verify the feasibility and practicality of the papers work. Keywords： Generation Companies；Bidding Strategy；Improved Particle Swarm Optimization；