基于马尔科夫模型的短时交通流预测分析-prediction and analysis of short-term traffic flow based on markov model.docxVIP

AbstractShort term traffic flow prediction plays a significant role in urban traffic volume control and guidance system. The quality of prediction influences the effect of urban traffic flow control and guidance system directly. Hence, short term traffic flow prediction is very essential to intelligent transportation system (ITS).This paper, aims at improving the accuracy of the prediction scheme, builds the Markov model first. Considering the non-linear and non-stationary characteristic of the traffic data time series, this paper proposes Markov-BP neural network model and Wavelet-Markov-BP n