Journal of International Money and Finance Volume 18 issue 4 1999 doi 10.1016_s0261560699000248 Andrew Berg; Catherine Pattillo Predicting currency crises The indicators ..6文档.pdfVIP

Journal of International Money and Finance 18 (1999) 561–586 /locate/jimonfin Predicting currency crises: The indicators approach and an alternative Andrew Berg, Catherine Pattillo* Research Department, International Monetary Fund, 700 19th St. N.W., Washington D.C., 20431, USA Abstract In recent years, a number of researchers have claimed success in systematically predicting which countries are more likely