成渝“双核”产业结构优化效果的实证分析.docVIP

成渝“双核”产业结构优化效果的实证分析 刘娟1 ，邹宇2 ，王军2 （1．中共重庆市委党校 经济社会发展研究所，2.重庆市港城工业园区管理委员会，重庆 400041） 摘 要：近年来，随着西部大开发与成渝经济区发展的不断推进，成都与重庆两个具有特定渊源的城市发展受到越来越多的关注。在此背景下，本文采用1997年至2009年的样本序列数据，引入协调指数，实证分析了成渝经济区推动的“成渝同城化”发展趋势下成渝“双核”产业结构优化效果。结果表明：一是“成渝同城化”进程中重庆产业结构协调程度（优化效果）提高了，而成都产业结构协调程度（优化效果）有所下降；二是在“成渝同城化”趋势下，重庆与成都“双核”产业并未实现同步调整与对接，“成渝同城化”进程存在较大阻碍。最后，本文在实证分析的基础上简要提出了促进成渝“双核”产业结构优化调整的对策建议。 关键词： 产业结构；协调指数；优化效果 The Empirical Analysis of Optimization Effect of ChengYu ‘Dual-Core’ industrial structure Liu Juan1, Zou Yu2, Wang Jun2 (1. The institute of economic and social development, Chongqing Municipal party school, Chongqing 400041, China; 2. Gang Cheng industrial park management committee of Chongqing , Chongqing 400041, China) Abstract: In recent years, with the continuous promotion of the West Development and Chengdu-Chongqqing Economic Zone, the development of Chengdu and Chongqing which have a specific origin is paid more and more attention. In this contex, through introducing coordination index with 1997-2009 data, this paper tests optimization effect of ChengYu ‘Dual-Core’industrial structure with trends of ‘ChengYu city’ promoted by Chengdu-Chongqqing Economic Zone. The empirical result shows: On the one hand, in the process of ‘ChengYu city’, the level coordination (optimization effect) of Chongqing’s industrial structure increased, but the level coordination (optimization effect) of Chongqing’s industrial structure decreased; One the other hand, with trends of ‘ChengYu city’, the industry of ChengYu ‘Dual-Core’ hasn’t achieved sync adjustment and docking, there is a big hamper in the process of ‘ChengYu city’. Finally, based on the empirical result, this paper proposes the suggestions of adjusting ChengYu ‘Dual-Core???industrial structure. Key words: industrial structure; coordination index; optimization effect 一、引言 从2004年成立成渝经济区区域合作领导小组到2007年国家批准成立成渝经济区再到2010年国务院原则通过成渝经济区区域发展规划，成渝经济区发展前景逐渐清晰。国家“十二五”规划纲要进一步提出“推进重庆、成都、西安区域战