A First Look at Empirical Testing Creating a Valid Research …先看看创建一个有效的实证检验的研究….pptVIP

A First Look at Empirical Testing Creating a Valid Research …先看看创建一个有效的实证检验的研究….ppt

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A First Look at Empirical Testing Creating a Valid Research …先看看创建一个有效的实证检验的研究…

Formula for the t-test: Formula for the t-test: (continued) “X bar” is the average unemployment rate among the dropouts. “Mu” is the unemployment rate in the general labor force. “s” is the standard deviation of the unemployment rate among the dropouts. “Square root n” is the square root of the sample size of the data set. Formula for the t-test: (continued) The null in this example is that the mean unemployment rate among the dropouts is NOT significantly different from that of the labor force in general. What we have to do in here is to calculate the t-statistic by using the abovementioned formula. And then, we compare the estimated t with the critical t value for a certain level of statistical significance (1%, 5%). Formula for the t-test: (continued) If the calculated t value is greater than the critical t value, then we should reject the null. Which means that the probability of the sample mean being the same as the default mean is LOW. The P-Value: This is an alternative approach to performing t-tests. The p-value is the exact or the observed level of significance. If the observed probability is smaller than the level of significance, the null should be rejected. Confounding of explanatory variables: We have mentioned that we face 3 major problems during the data analysis. The second one was the fact that relationships between 2 variables can be concealed by the effects of other variables. This problem is called the confounding of explanatory variables. It affects both causal empiricism and t-tests. Let us give an example. Confounding of explanatory variables: (continued) Now, assume that C is affected by another variable, interest rates (i). The equation for C becomes: C = b1Y + b2i + e Now, suppose that interest rates noticeably decreased, while income did not. Remember that we had Y in the horizontal axis and C in the vertical axis. So, the decrease in i would lead to a shift in the C function, rather than a movement along the function. Confounding of

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