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AnalyticalPolitics
Analytical Politics Melvin Hinich A Stable Democracy Requires these 8 Attributes Condorcet’s Counter Example Agendas A versus B - the winner against C A versus C - the winner against B B versus C - the winner against A Preference Model Voters have quadratic utility functions Voter vs quadratic utility for party p’s policy position Voter ideal position Party credibility score Weights - Weighted Euclidean Preference Latent Ideological Space The Linear Linkage Model Ideal Point on the Ideological Space Linkage between the Latent Political Space Issues * 1. Citizens have defined tradable property rights 2. A non corrupt judicial system that defends these property rights 3. Local governments with the power to tax for local public services 4. Competitive elections for the executive legislative branches 7. Protection of civil rights including religious toleration 8. Many people understand how politics affects their interests that There is not something for nothing 6. A stable currency a sound banking system 5. A political balance between the executive the legislature A is preferred to B by One Two B is preferred to C by One Three C is preferred to A by Two Three Majority rule can yield a cycle over the choices! 1 Issue positions cluster: If I know what you think on defense and environmental policy, I can guess what you think of school lunch subsidies. 2 Shared meaning: This clustering phenomenon is not purely atomistic, so that ideological positions such as “liberal” and “conservative” have similar meanings to different people. 3 Constraint: If the effective space of political conflict is “ideological” in the sense above , the strategies of candidates (and hence the choices for voters) in the policy space are highly constrained. Communication: To provide voters with a message they can understand and use to make choices, parties must simplify their message. Because only broad statements of principles can be used in advertising and posi
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