新世纪的世界与中国人口-internationalcooperationcenterthe.PPT

* * V. Conclusions First, different solutions will come up if the population issues are observed from different perspectives. Sociology believes we need to compromise between what a family wants and what a country wants, especially in the developing and undeveloped countries where families want more babies at an earlier age but the government hopes for the opposite. In economics, more labor forces with higher caliber are needed to facilitate economic development. In environmentology, population has to be controlled so as to achieve comprehensive and sustainable development. In anthropology, a premium population structure and distribution is of great importance and the improvement of people’s quality is essential. All these solutions have to be given due attention so that the policies will be inclusive and conducive to economic growth, social stability, family happiness and national prosperity. * * Secondly, China’s current population can sustain the development. There won’t be big population problems untill 2025. Now on average every Chinese couple has 1.5 to 1.6 children. With abundant labor, we can focus on raising productivity and adjusting industrial structure. With wide acceptance to the birth control policy, we have the condition to keep low birth rate and focus on increasing people’s quality. It is estimated that China’s population will peak in 2025, at a bit less than 1.5 billion. From now to then should be the period of gradually adjusting birth control policies. More specifically, the central government should place a limit on the total population and local governments set up plans according to their circumstances. Step by step, the birth control policies will be adjusted. * * Thirdly, Chinese people’s average lifespan is gradually increasing. In the middle of this century, it will reach 80, and in the end of this century, 90. A hundred years later, China’s population will become stable. If the births per