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Study on hydrogen infrastructure planning 氢能基础设施规划研究 LI Zheng Gao Dan Chang Le Tsinghua-BP Clean Energy Center Tsinghua University Aug 5, 2008, Changsha Outline China’s hydrogen energy development depends on the demand for CO2 mitigation CO 减排是中国发展氢能的主要驱动力 2 “Steady state” comparison of hydrogen pathways 氢能供应链的“静态” 比较 Dynamic modeling of hydrogen infrastructure evolution 氢能基础设施动态规划模型 中国面临的能源挑战 Energy Challenges China is Facing 能源需求巨大且快速增长，供应能力紧张 Huge and fast-increasing demand and limited supply capacity 液体燃料短缺，高度依靠进口，能源安全堪忧 Shortage of liquid fuel and high dependency on import 环境污染严重 Severe pollution 农村和小城镇需要大量方便清洁能源 Urbanization and rural energy demand 温室气体排放量巨大而且迅速增加 Huge and increasing GHG General Energy Situation of China 中国整体能源形势 Energy Consumption in China (Except Coal) 500 1990-2005 Energy consumption Petroleum NG Hydro Nuclear 25.0 400 n o i 20.0 t p m e 300 u t o s M 15.0 t n 0 n o 0