Probability Coin Flipping and Dice Rolling概率掷硬币、骰子滚动.pptVIP

Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Probability:Coin Flipping and Dice Rolling By Ling Pun and Coral Quackenbush SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Objective: Sunshine Standards: MAE.1.3.1 Collects and displays data in a variety of ways MAE.2.3.1 Comparing experimental results with expectations Your students will be able to identify the similarities and differences of experimental versus theoretical probability and represent this data in a visual manner. SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Background and History Concepts of probability are as old as mankind itself. Pierre de Fermat Blaise Pascal Jacob Bernoulli Christiaan Huygens Pierre de Fermat, Blaise Pascal, and Christiaan Huygens gave the earliest known scientific treatment of probability. SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Game of flipping a coin: Let’s flip the coin ten times And record how many heads or Tails. What are your results ? HEADS TAILS Heads: Tails: SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Representation of Probability SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Experimental versus Theoretical.. What’s the difference? Experimental probability is the result of an experiment or simulation after a large number of times. Theoretical probability is what is expected to happen based on the possible outcomes, assuming equally likely events. SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Theoretical Experimental SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Let’s simulate 10 coin flips with Excel…. It should look something like this Construct an array: Select cells C2 through C11. Select the borders color fill. SI 2007: Probability Ling Pun Coral Quackenbush * Use the function “=INT(2*RAND())” in each cell of the array to produce either a 1 or a 0. What function do you think we can use to simulate the experiment? Ex