基于VOR导航的平行航路侧向碰撞率计算模型-交通运输工程学报.PDF

第7 卷　第3 期 交 通 运 输 工 程 学 报 Vol.7　No.3 2007 年6 月 Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering Jun.2007 :1671-1637(2007)03-0021-04 V R 张兆宁, 张晓燕, 李冬宾 ( , 　300300) 　:为了有效确定平行航路 全间隔与评估碰撞风险, 分析了侧向碰撞影响因素, 利用 Reich 模型和概率论理论, 建立了非洋区V R导航下平行航路的侧向碰撞率计算模型。对Reich 模型进 行了改进, 以圆柱体碰撞模板代替传统的长方体碰撞模板, 推导出平行航路侧向碰撞率的计算公 式, 利用事件的概率运算法则, 给出V R导航下航路飞行时两机侧向重叠概率的计算模型。计算 结果表明:给定航路侧向碰撞率小于规定值, 所设定的平行航路间隔在给定的飞行环境下是 全 的, 符合客观实际, 因此计算模型可行。 :空中交通管理;平行航路;碰撞风险;临近层;碰撞模板;侧向重叠概率 :V328　　　:A Computation model of lateral collision rate on parallel routes based on VOR navigation Zhang Zhao-ning, Zhang Xiao-yan, Li Dong-bin (Air Traffic Management Research Base, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China) Abstract:In order to effectively confirm the safe separation of parallel routes and evaluate collision risk, lateral collision influence factors were analyzed, Reich modeland probability theory were introduced, and a computation model of lateral collision rate on parallel routes was established based on V R navigation in continental areas.The Reich model was improved, a computation formula of lateral collision rate was deduced according to column collision slab instead of cuboid collision slab, and a computation model of lateral overlapping rate between two aircrafts was given according to event probability operation principle.Computation result show s that the computation value of lateral collision rate on gave parallel routes is less than normal value, the flight environment with gave separations is safe, which accords with real condition, so the model is feasible.4 figs, 11 refs. Key words:air traffic management;parallel routes;collision risk;proximity shell;collision slab; lateral overlap probabili