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Global Trends 2016–2021
Political, Technological,
and Demographic
Revolutions
Five key trends will shape the global outlook
and operating environment through 2021.
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About Global Trends
Global Trends 2016–2021 identifies five macro trends that
will play an outsize role in the current and future operating
environment for businesses, governments, and citizens
around the globe.
In fulfilling its core mandate to help leaders anticipate
and plan for the future, the A.T. Kearney Global Business
Policy Council (GBPC) continually scans the horizon for
developments across the global external strategic
operating environment in the key dimensions of
demography, economy, environment, geopolitics,
governance, resources, and technology. In assessing
these dimensions, the GBPC identifies on an annual basis
those emerging trends that are likely to have the most
significant implications for how businesses and
governments operate over the next five years. Global
Trends 2016–2021 explores how each of these trends
manifests itself today, analyzes its medium-term outlook,
and presents high-level business implications in each case.
The goal of the GBPC’s annual Global Trends publication is
to help business leaders and strategic planners question
their assumptions and become more agile in adapting to
the future—whatever it might bring. As such, the GBPC’s
analysis can help organizations to develop monitoring
systems for the evolution of trends that are especially
germane to their sector or industry, mitigating downsid
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