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Economic Research
August 3, 2018
Global Data Watch
BoJ’s low-for-long strategy is unlikely to deliver 2% inflation
Contents
Top-down growth indicators solid, but still dependent on US
US home sales: dow n but not out 15
China’s policy response is building as it prepares for long trade conflict
Euro area: Wage grow th is making
Next week: Soft China exports; US core CPI stays firm (2.3%oya) another big mov e 17
Brex it: Prepare for the political
ring of fire 19
Sisyphus rising
Global Economic Outlook Summary 4
The BoJ delivered to our expectations at this week’s policy meeting, lowering Global Central Bank Watch 6
its inflation forecast (to 1.5% for FY2019), widening the tolerance band Now cast of global grow th 7
around its JGB yield target to 20bp, and delivering forward guidance that the
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