基于云模型的水体富营养化程度评价方法-环境科学学报.PDF

第 33 卷第 1期 环　 境　 科　 学　 学　 报 Vol.33,No.1 2013年1月 　Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae Jan. ,2013 丁昊,王栋.2013.基于云模型的水体富营养化程度评价方法[J].环境科学学报,33(1):251-257 Ding H,Wang D. 2013.The evaluation method of water eutrophication based on cloud model[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,33(1):251-257 基于云模型的水体富营养化程度评价方法 丁昊,王栋∗ 表生地球化学教育部重点实验室,南京大学地球科学与工程学院水科学系,南京210093 收稿日期:2012-03-05　 　 　 修回日期:2012-05-03　 　 　 录用日期:2012-06-04 摘要:水体富营养化程度评价对生态环境保护具有重要意义.针对水体富营养化程度评价不可避免的模糊性和随机性的特点,本文引入云模型 的方法,对我国14个代表性湖库的富营养化程度进行评价.根据确定的评价标准,生成各评价因子隶属于各级别的综合云模型,并针对湖库实 测资料,得到各评价物的确定度,由最大确定度决定湖库营养化级别.将该法所得结果与湖库实际水质状况、国内外应用较为广泛且简便的营 养状态指数、评分公式法及模糊综合评价法所得结果进行对比,发现评价结果真实可靠,计算过程简洁明了,验证了该方法的可行性和有效性. 关键词:营养化;云模型;水质评价;水体 文章编号:0253-2468(2013)01-251-07　 　 　 中图分类号:X171　 　 　 文献标识码:A The evaluation method of water eutrophication based on cloud model DING Hao,WANG Dong∗ Key Laboratory of Surficial Geochemistry, Ministry of Education, Department of Hydrosciences, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Nanjing University,Nanjing210093 Received5 March2012;　 　 　 received in revised form3 May2012;　 　 　 accepted4 June2012 Abstract:The evaluation of water eutrophication is important in the field of ecological environmental protection. According to the characteristics of the inevitable fuzziness and randomness in theevaluationofwatereutrophication,thispaperintroducesthecloudmodelmethodtoevaluatetheeutrophication of China′s 14 typical lakes and reservoirs. The comprehensive cloud of each factor on each level has been generated based on the assessment index and assessment factors. According to the measured data for lakes and reservoirs,the degree of certainty for each evaluation material can be obtained. The eutrophication level of lakes and reservoirs isthen determined by the maximum degree of certainty. Comparing the evaluation resultsfromthisdeveloped cloud model method wit