《浙江纺织品服装出口对经济增长影响的实证分析》-毕业论文（设计）.doc

PAGE PAGE II 毕 业 论 文 2012 届 浙江纺织品服装出口对经济增长影响的 实证分析 学生姓名 学 号 0203080117 系 别 经济与管理系 专业班级 国际经济与贸易0801班 指导教师 黄 华 完成日期 2012 年6月 浙江纺织品服装出口对经济增长影响的 实证分析 摘 要 近二十年来，浙江省增长迅速，其中纺织业的蓬勃发展作出了重要贡献。为了探索浙江省的纺织品服装出口与经济增长间的关系，本文在考察了现状的基础上，对纺织品服装出口与经济增长过程中存在的问题进行了探讨，提出了纺织品服装出口促进经济增长的可行性对策。论文采用计量分析的方法，通过建立模型对浙江省纺织品服装出口与经济增长的效应进行分析，发现两者存双向的因果关系。此外，论文还进一步从贡献率、拉动度等方面讨论了浙江省纺织品出口与服装出口对经济增长促进作用相似的原因。 关键词 纺织品服装出口；经济增长；计量分析；实证检验 ZHEJIANG TEXTILE AND APPAREL EXPORTS TO THE ECONOMIC GROWTH ANALYSIS ABSTRACT In the past twenty years, the rapid growth of zhejiang province, of which the vigorous development of the textile industry has made an important contribution. In order to explore the zhejiangs textile and apparel exports and economic growth, the connection between based on the review on the basis of the status of textile and apparel exports and economic growth of the problems in the process of paper, textile and apparel exports promote economic growth of feasible countermeasures. This paper adopts measurement analysis method, through the establishment model on zhejiang textile and apparel exports and economic growth, the author discovers that the effect two-way causality between deposit. In addition, the paper also further contribution, pull degrees from aspects of zhejiang textile exports are discussed with clothing export promoting effect on economic growth is similar reasons. KEY WORDS Textile and garment exports;economic growth; Quantitative analysis; empirical test 目 录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \z \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc290404060 摘 要 PAGEREF _Toc290404060 \h I HYPERLINK \l _Toc290404061 ABSTRACT PAGEREF _Toc290404061 \h II HYPERLINK \l _Toc290404062 前言 PAGEREF _Toc290404062 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc290404063 1纺织品服装出口与经济增长的概述 PAGEREF _Toc290404063 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc290404064 1.1纺织品服装出口直接推动区域的经济增长 PAGEREF _Toc290404064 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc290404065 1.2 纺织品服装出口间接带动相关产业链的发展 PAGEREF _Toc290404065 \h 2