复杂水库群供水优化调度方法及应用研究-水文学及水资源专业论文.docx

复杂水库群供水优化调度方法及应用研究(6)连通条件下的水库的人工引水可以对天然径流形成补偿，降低其不确定性，受 复杂水库群供水优化调度方法及应用研究 (6)连通条件下的水库的人工引水可以对天然径流形成补偿，降低其不确定性，受 水水库可以以较小的库容对径流进行调蓄，以大伙房应急入连工程中的碧流河水库为例， 探索性研究人工引水对天然径流的补偿作用。结果表明：人工引水对天然径流的补偿作 用呈现非线性关系，水库的缺水指数与人工引水之间呈现典型的倒S型曲线；在这条曲 线上存在两个拐点，拐点出现的位置受用水户需水量与天然径流控制；人工引水的加入 可以降低水库的库容而不减小水库的供水效益，在碧流河水库的实例中，当人工引水量 达到天然径流的54％时，仅仅需要原始水库库容的60％且1J可对入流进行调蓄，满足用水 户的保证率要求。 关键词：水库群供水调度；供水任务分配；降维优化；权重组合设计；多目标优化 与决策；补偿调节 万方数据 大连理工大学博士学位论文ABSTRACT 大连理工大学博士学位论文 ABSTRACT In recent years，the overall layout of multi．reservoir joint optimization operation has been forming in large river basins of China．How to make multi．reservoir ioint optimization operation scientifically and reasonably is the key point of water resources planning and management and．real-time operation．With large-scale multi-reservoir systems becoming more and more complicated，multi-reservoir operation meets new challenges．For instance，hoW to allocate common water supply tasks of each member reservoir；how to resolve optimization operation problem of the complicated multi-reservoir systems；and how to make informed decisions to achieve a striking balance among different objectives of multi．reservoir systems． This thesis carries out research on the construction and the solving ofmulti-reservoir operation model，and multi-objective decision accordingly．It takes the East．to．West Middle．1ine Inter- basin Wrater Transfer Project(mWTS)in Liaoning Province of China as a study case．And the main research results are as follows． (1)Firstly,the water resources allocation pattern of Middle．1ine IBWTS is analyzed from many aspects such as the development situation of society and economy,the character ofwater resources，and the actual situation of water supply．Then．the structure of Middle．1ine IBWTS iS generalized．And then，the long．term observed runoff data and water demand data are analyzed．Finally,based on all of the above materials and analyses，this thesis confirms the problems and the goals ofthe projeCt． (2)The multi-reservoir operati