河北旅游业发展与区域经济增长实证研究-数量经济学专业论文.docxVIP

河北旅游业发展与区域经济增长实证研究 河北旅游业发展与区域经济增长实证研究 THE EMPIRICAL STUDY OF HEBEI TOURISM DEVELOPMEN T AND REGINNAL ECONOMIC GROWTH Abstract With the socia l development, tourism has become a development trend in the globa l economy the strongest, biggest, the releva nce of highly integrated industries. Tourism in regiona l economic development in the industry, position, and gradua lly increase the economic role of tourism on regiona l economic growth, socia l employment, driving force, as well as the promot ion of the role of culture and the environment becomes increasingly obvious. Tourism has become a pilla r industry of nationa l economic development as one. In recent years, encouraging tourism statist ics, tourism, trips, tourism revenues on the rise, coupled with extensive med ia publicity to increase peoples enthusiasm for the development of tourism, tourism has increasingly gained the attention of nationa l and provincia l and municipa l . By the end of 2007, a total of over 27 provincia l-level administrative units to the tourism industry as a pilla r industry, lead ing industry or the tertiary sector to mot ivate the lead ing industries. The rapid development of tourism in the world, Chinas tourism industry continue to create the rich background, Hebei Province, despite the recent development of the tourism industry, compared with other provinces still la gging behind the nationa l level, in order to tap the potentia l of tourism development in Hebei Province, In this paper, theoret ica l research and empirica l analysis, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, time series regression and input-output analysis met hod of combining, comprehensively studying the tourism in Hebei and regiona l economic growth. Tourism and GDP by Hebei Province to conduct Granger causa lity test to establish between the two vector autoregressive model, focusing on the development of tourism on regiona l economic growth mecha nism of action, and Hebei Province, through the multiplier e