高速公路交通安全分析及评价研究-交通信息工程及控制专业论文.docxVIP

I I 摘 要 近年来，随着我国高速公路里程的不断增长，交通安全形势日趋严峻，交通事故死 亡率近十年来高居世界首位。高速公路交通事故频繁发生不仅威胁着人民生命财产安 全，同时也限制了高速公路使用性能的正常发挥。因此，对高速公路交通安全进行分析 及评价研究具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。 本文就高速公路交通安全评价问题展开研究，旨在建立一个有效的高速公路交通安 全评价指标体系，对高速公路交通安全状况进行客观、全面、系统的分析和评价，及时 发现问题，找出不足，采取措施，提前预防，提高高速公路交通安全性，保障人民的生 命财产安全，促进经济社会的和谐发展。 本文以当前我国高速公路交通安全现状为基础，从系统的角度出发，对我国高速公 路交通事故特性进行了分析，并对高速公路交通安全影响因素进行了全面、系统的分析。 通过对高速公路的人、车辆、道路、交通环境等诸多因素的分析，确定了高速公路交通 事故诱发的主要因素，依据评价指标体系的建立原则和评价指标的选取方法，建立了高 速公路交通安全评价指标体系，对评价指标作量化处理，并用层次分析法来确定各层评 价指标的权重。在综合分析比较了各种评价方法的基础上，采用模糊综合评价法，建立 高速公路交通安全评价模型，并对高速公路交通安全状况进行综合评价。最后，结合具 体实例分析，验证了所建立的高速公路交通安全评价体系和评价模型具有较强的适用性 和可行性。 关键词：高速公路，交通安全，评价指标体系，层次分析法，模糊综合评价 II II Abstract In recent years, with the increasing number of highway mileage in China, traffic safety has become increasingly serious and traffic accident mortality rate has been highest on the world in a nearly decade. Highway traffic accidents threaten peoples security and property, moreover, they lead to the low efficiency of the high way performance. Therefore, the analysis and evaluation on the highway traffic safety play a significant role in theoretical significance and practical significance. In this paper, the study of highway traffic safety evaluation, aims to establish an effective evaluation index system of highway traffic safety, the highway traffic safety situation of objective, comprehensive and systematic analysis and evaluation, find problems in time, find out deficiency, take measures to prevent in advance, improve the safety of highway traffic, protect peoples life and property security, promoting the harmonious development of economy and society. In this paper, we make a comprehensive and systematic analysis on traffic safety impact factors and traffic accident features from the view of system construction on the bases of the status of traffic safety. By analyzing the traffic safety impact factors, such as people, vehicle, road, traffic environment, we find out the main factors of highway traffic accident. We also create the eva