水利工程影响下的洪水预报及历史暴雨洪水重现研究好-水文学及水资源专业毕业论文.docx

水利工程影响下的洪水预报及历史暴雨洪水重现研究 且相比传统方法动态蓄水容量的TOPMODEL洪水预报模型，HD．TOPMODEL洪水预 报模型能够反映水利工程的影响过程，且能利用当前水利工程库容信息实时校正水利工 程的影响量，具有更高的模拟精度和更好的模拟效果。 (4)首先根据流域现状水利工程数据得到现状水利工程下的HD．TOPMODEL模型 参数，然后以历史暴雨洪水为输入得到丰满水库以上流域历史暴雨发生到当前水利工程 情况下的洪水过程线，重现历史暴雨在现状水利工程条件下的洪水过程，重现结果表明， 历史洪水发生在现状水利工程条件下洪量和峰值有减小的趋势，但是特殊极端大洪水中 水利工程会出现一定量的放水，加上次生灾害的影响给防洪安全造成了威胁，应该着重 注意防范。 关键词：TOPMODEL模型；水利工程；洪水重现；聚合水库蓄放模拟；动态蓄水容量 万方数据  大连理工大学博士学位论文 ABSTRACT The issue of water is a dominant theme in the study with the population and productivity increasing highly．Upstream catchments construct numerous middle and small．sized hydraulic projects in order to relieve this contradiction between flood control and irrigation，which changed runoff processes entering large reservoirs．A flood forecasting and hydrologic calculation model must reflect the continually changing runoff situation．The Fengman basin is a major tributary of the Songhua River basin(SRB)，located in the northeast of China．In the past half century，the climate in the SRB has became warmer and drier and a large area of wetlands has degraded while farmland has been increased rapidly．Many hydraulic projects as reservoirs，ponds，paddy fields and soil and water conservation engineering projects have been constructed to improve utilization of water resource in upstream of Wudaogou station basin in recent years．The local hydrological characteristics ofthe basin and the flood nmoffand process are changed．Study on historical flood recurrence under the impacts of hydraulic engineering is important for scientific guiding ideology fiver basin flood control，making plan for design food of basin and reservoir and assure the flood control security．It is an important issue waiting tO resolve in water conservancy industry of Song-Liao rivers basin．In this paper we take the Subarea II of the Fengman basin as an example and analyse the impacts of such human activities as the changes of land use／land cover and the construcion of water conservancy project on flood process and simulate