基于环境温度在线监测的IO卡件故障率的研究-电测与仪表.docVIP

电测与仪表 Electrical Measurement Instrumentation PAGE 1 基于环境温度在线监测的I/O卡件故障率的研究* 钱虹1，赵先浩1，张栋良1，吴鹤群2 (1.上海电力学院自动化工程学院，上海 200090；2.上海电力公司浦东供电公司，上海 200120) 摘要：针对处于偶然故障期的I/O卡件，其寿命服从指数分布，故障率为一常数，故障率主要受环境温度的影响。以温度为协变量，建立比例故障率模型。基于研发的DCS各系统可靠性监测系统，统计分析获取不同温度下I/O卡件的故障率。采用稳健回归中M-估计对模型参数进行估计，定量分析，校正故障率。实例分析表明，该模型具备表征实际故障率的能力，可为DCS故障诊断、寿命管理及预防性检修提供依据。 关键词：I/O卡件；指数分布；比例故障率模型；M估计 中图分类号:TM62 文献标识码:B 文章编号：1001-1390(2017)00-0000-00 Research on the failure rate of I/O card based on the on-line monitoring of environment temperature Qian Hong1, Zhao Xianhao1, Zhang Dongliang1, Wu Hequn2 (1.School of Automation Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China. 2. Pudong Power Supply Branch, Shanghai Electric Power Company, Shanghai 200120,China) Abstract: For the fortuitous failure period of I/O card, its life obeyobeys exponential distribution, and the failure rate that is mainly affected by the temperature is a constant.Withconstant. With the temperature as the co-variable, a failure rate model was proposed based on proportional hazard model in this paper.Basedpaper. Based on the research and development of reliability monitoring system in DCS system reliability monitoring system,statistical, statistical analysis is used to obtain the failure rate of the I/O card at different temperatures.Thetemperatures. The M-estimation in robust regression is used to estimate the parameters of the model and the failure rate is analyzed qualitatively and the failure rate is corrected.Thecorrected. The example analysis shows that the model have has the ability to represent the actual failure rate, which can provide evidence for fault diagnosis of DCS, life management and preventive maintenance. Keywords: I/O card, exponential distribution, proportional hazard model, M-estimation 0 引 言 输入输出(Input/Output)卡件为集散控制系统(Distributed Control System)的各种信号提供通道，具有连接DCS 中分散处理单元(Distributed Processing Unit)与现场生产过程的作用，DCS系统的性能、可靠性等重要指标依靠于I/O卡件。而I/O卡件的可靠性受系