以及龙卷涡旋与漏斗云地面位置的关系-WMO.PDF

以及龙卷涡旋与漏斗云地面位置的关系-WMO.PDF

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以及龙卷涡旋与漏斗云地面位置的关系-WMO

龙卷 Why do we care TC-tornadoes ? Smaller size, shorter life cycle, weaker disaster relative to midlatitude tornadoes • Damage – Contribute to 10% TC fatalities ,0.5% TC economic losses (Novlan and Gray 1974) • High frequency – In the U.S., ~ 60% landfall hurricanes produce tornadoes. It is a 100% for Landfall TCs with Hurricane intensity (McCaul ,1991 ) Motivation TC-tornado is a very small system in a big TC •Lack of active spotters offering ground truth •Ambiguous and uncertain radar signatures •Very limited numerical model capability Most works on TC-tornadoes are on climatology. However: • Most of the climatology work were on the U.S cases. How different is the climatology of TC-tornadoes in China remains unknown. • Detailed case study has been very rare. How different is the damage and radar features of a TC tornado from mid- latitude tornadoes remains unknown. Spatial distribution 25/65 landfall TCs in 2006−2017 35 tornadoes Within ~250 km from the coast line •~ Within 500 km from the coast line for the U.S. TC-tornadoes (Edwards 2012 ) Frequency • In China, 38% landfall TCs produce tornadoes – In Japan, ~ 40% landfall TCs produce tornadoes (Mitsuta ,1983 ) – In the U.S., ~ 60% Landfall TCs produce (McCaul ,1991 ) • ~3 per year in China 6 in typhoon Prapiroon (2006) in China (Bai and Meng 2017; Zheng et al. 2015) – ~3 per year in Japan . (Fujita 1972) S. U – ~70 per year in the U.S. e h t (Edwards 2012)

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