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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology Program Office
Case Studies in Applied Epidemiology
No. 731-703
Cigarette Smoking and Lung Cancer
Students Guide
Learning Objectives
After completing this case study, the participant should be able to:
G Discuss the elements of study design, and the advantages and disadvantages of
case-control versus prospective cohort studies;
G Discuss some of the biases that might have affected these studies;
G Calculate a rate ratio, rate difference, odds ratio, and attributable risk percent;
G Interpret each measure and describe each measures main use; and
G Review the criteria for causation.
This case study is based on the classic studies by Doll and Hill that demonstrated a relationship
between smoking and lung cancer. Two case studies were developed by Clark Heath, Godfrey Oakley,
David Erickson, and Howard Ory in 1973. The two case studies were combined into one and
substantially revised and updated by Nancy Binkin and Richard Dicker in 1990. Current version
updated by Richard Dicker with input from Julie Magri and the 2003 EIS Summer Course instructors.
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
Public Health Service
CDC / EIS Summer Course 2003: Smoking and Lung Ca - Students Guide Page 2
A causal relationship between cigarette smoking over a 4-year period (April 1948 - February
and lung cancer was first suspected in the 1920s 1952). Initially, 20 hospitals, and later more,
on the basis of clinical observations. To test this were as
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