建筑工程安全管理及事故预测分析研究-市政工程专业论文.docxVIP

Study Study on Construction Safety Management and Accident Analysis and Forecast Abstract In the whole world construction industry is one of the most dangerous industries．The rate of construction industry accident iS also higher than the average of other industries．At present the situation of construction safety is still serious in our country．The poor safety of construction industry has become the main obstacle to build the harmonious country and also has hampered the development of construction industry．Developing safety management of our country has important and active meaning．Firstly the paper analyses and summarizes the situation of construction safetB then status quo of safety management and eight problems of construction safety management．Then the paper presents measures and suggestions according the construction safety management problems of our country in the base of following construction safety management experience of some developed countries and areas．Secondly the paper analyses the reasons of construction accidents and presents four reasons which are men，machine or maRermanagement and environment。then analyses their relation and draws a conclusion which iS improving construction safety management call reduce the construction accident·At last the paper illuminates the important meaning of the accident forecast in construction safety management and then establishes a gray forecast model of construction accident using gray theory and a back propagation neural network model of construction accident using back propagation neural network theory． Finally，the paper gives an example showing how to USe the models· Keywords：construction；safety management；accident reason； accident forecast； gray forecast theory； back propagation neural network theory 插图清单图3-1 插图清单 图3-1 美国职业及建筑安全法律体系 13 图3-2 英国职业健康及安全法律法规体系 15 图3．3 德国“双轨制”职业安全与健康体系 17 图4．I 我国建筑业安全生产管理体系 28 图5-l 海里因希事故因果连锁理论图示 44 图5．2海里因希事故因果连锁中断图示 44 图5．3 博德事故因果连锁理论图示 44 图5．4亚当斯事故因果连锁理论图示 45 图5．5 北川彻三事故因果连锁理论图示