随机结构动力可靠度估计算法的对比分析-地震工程与工程振动.PDF

29 6 V o.l 29 N o. 6 2009 12 JOURNAL OF EARTH QUAK E ENG IN EER ING AND ENG INEER ING V IBRAT ION D ec. 2009 : 1000 - 1301( 2009) 06- 0048- 05 刘 佩, 姚谦峰 ( , 100044) : Laplace , , , ) , , M onte Carlo , , M on te Car lo : : P3151964 TU 311 : A Approxim ate m ethod s for dynam ic reliab ility ca lcu lation of stochastic structures L IU P ei, YAO Q ianfeng ( School of C iv il Eng ineering and A rch itectu re, Beijing J iaotong U n iv ersity, Beijing 100044, Ch ina) Abs tract: T hree new approx mi ate m ethods for dynam ic reliability ca lculation o f stochastic structures are com p ared. A new techniqu e nam ed asym ptot ic exp an sion s is b ased on L aplace. s m ethod for approx mi ation o f integ rals. W hen the loca lm ax mi a of the integ rand are calcu lated, the failure prob ability can be der ived from a smi p le ana ly tica l for- m ula o f asym ptotic approx mi at ion. S ince the m a in contribution to the integ ral com es from the dom ain in the neigh- borhood o f the po int o f loca lm ax mi um used in the asym ptot icm ethod, it is reasonab le to assum e th at the m ost prob- able va lu e of the mi portant samp ling den sity function equa ls to the local m ax mi um. T he th ird m ethod em ploys the ex trem e va lu e distribu tion to presen t the fo rm ula o f failure probab ility of uncertain stru ctures. T hen an estmi ate of the fa ilure probability is obtained b ased on T ay lor series exp an sion. The central difference schem e is u sed