基于进化算法改进拉丁超立方抽样的概率潮流计算-中国电机工程学报.PDFVIP

第 31 卷 第 25 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.31 No.25 Sep.5, 2011 90 2011 年 9 月 5 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2011 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 文章编号：0258-8013 (2011) 25-0090-07 中图分类号：TM 74 文献标志码：A 学科分类号：470·40 基于进化算法改进拉丁超立方抽样的 概率潮流计算 李俊芳，张步涵 (强电磁工程与新技术国家重点实验室(华中科技大学) ，湖北省 武汉市 430074) Probabilistic Load Flow Based on Improved Latin Hypercube Sampling With Evolutionary Algorithm LI Junfang, ZHANG Buhan (State Key Laboratory of Advanced Electromagnetic Engineering and Technology (Huazhong University of Science and Technology), Wuhan 430074, Hubei Province, China) ABSTRACT: In the simulation method of power system risk 情况提出含进化算法的改进中值拉丁超立方抽样法；另一方 assessment using probabilistic load flow calculation, Monte 面，为顾及概率分布的尾部特征，提出拉丁超立方重要抽样 Carlo simulation based on Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) 技术。对 IEEE 30 和 IEEE 118 节点系统进行考虑发电机无功 has higher efficiency than simple Monte Carlo simulation. But 出力约束的局部相关性试验，所提方法能有效地控制相关性， there are still some problems in controlling correlation in 并具有良好的收敛性。试验结果表明该方法是有效和合理的。 probabilistic load flow. In order to improve the efficiency of 关键词：电力系统；加速蒙特卡罗模拟；拉丁超立方抽样； LHS to solve the probabilistic load flow, two improvements 进化算法；概率潮流 were made. On one hand, an improved median Latin hypercube sampling method with Evolutionary Algorithm was proposed to 0 引言 control correlation. On the other hand, Latin hypercube important sampling technique was presented to consider the tail 电力系统运行瞬间存在负荷波动的不确