基于乘客接受度的定制公交票价分析-中国科技论文在线.PDFVIP

中国科技论文在线 基于乘客接受度的定制公交票价分析 1 2 1 李彬 ，杨铭 ，肖润谋 (1.长安大学汽车学院，西安 710064 ； 2.宁波工程学院经济管理学院，浙江宁波 315211) 摘要：基于对西安高新区上班族通勤需求进行的实证研究，归纳出上班族的出行选择特性； 结合二项 logistic 回归分析研究影响乘客接受定制公交的各种因素，建立影响定制公交票价 接受度的回归模型。结果表明，影响乘客是否接受定制公交票价的重要因素为是否有座位、 沿途停靠站点次数和通勤距离。研究结果可为后期不同城市和线路推广定制公交时，结合通 勤距离和停靠站点数量快速准确地确定基础票价提供理论支撑。 关键词：定制公交；交通拥堵；票价；通勤；回归分析 中图分类号：U491.13 文献标识码：A The study on factors affecting customized city bus service fares base on logistic model 1 2 1 LI Bin , YANG Ming , XIAO Runmou (1. School of Automobile, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China; 2. School of Economics and Management, Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo, Zhejiang 315211, China) Abstract: An empirical study of commuting demands in high-tech district of Xi’an was conducted in this study, which summed up the characteristics commuters travel choice. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to examine the impact of various factors affecting the customized bus service. The model of acceptance of fares on customized bus service was also developed. The results show that the acceptance of customized bus service was mainly determined by seats availability, stop times along the way and commuting distance. The research can provide some guidance for cities to open customized bus service. Keywords: customized city bus service(CCBS) ；traffic congestion ；fares ；Commuting ；regression analysis 定制公交作为介于常规公交与出租车之间的公共交通服务模式，开创了多层次的公共交 通服务，是对我国单一层次低票价的公共交通服务模式的改革和创新[1] 。大力发展定制公交 [2] [3] 对于完善和提升公共交通服务具有较强的现实意义 。程立勤 探讨了定制公交系统的构成， 并基于点线面次法分析了定制公交线网布局。卢小林等[4]结合各种评价方法优缺点，构建了 基于层次分析法的灰色关联度综合评价模型，对济南市 131 路模拟灵活型定制公交线路