基于引力模型的中日双边贸易分析-国际贸易学专业论文.docxVIP

II II ABSTRACT China is the worlds largest developing country; the rapid development since the reform and opening up in 1978, foreign trade, China is a big trading now. Geographic location adjacent to Japan and China, economies are highly complementary, since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Japan more than 40 years deepening economic relations and trade cooperation, the bilateral trade volume increasing, the trade continued to deepen. Were tense political relations in recent years has been the historical causes caused trade friction, while Sino-Japanese bilateral trade in recent years, accounting for the proportion of Chinas foreign trade volume decline and other factors are restricting the long-term development of the Sino-Japanese bilateral trade. After many domestic and foreign scholars studied on the gravity model of theoretical and empirical, the gravity model has become an important method for the study of bilateral trade. In this paper, Gravity model has been used to study the bilateral trade between China and Japan, theoretical and empirical analysis sought to identify clear factors affect Sino-Japanese bilateral trade development and provide powerful reference for formulating corresponding policies and measures. This paper uses a combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, and follows the total - sector analysis route. Part in the analysis of the development of Sino-Japanese bilateral trade development present situation, the total amount of the Sino-Japanese bilateral trade and trade structure are analyzed by using chart tools, the results show that the trade deficit is gradually expanding, and bilateral trade structure is further optimize. Using the gravity model in the empirical part, the total level and the departmental level of Sino-Japanese bilateral trade from both imports and exports are studied, and the results show that the main factors affecting Sino-Japanese bilateral trade are GDP, per capita GDP, spac