基于客流激发能级模型的铁路客流短期预测研究-系统工程专业论文.docxVIP

ABSTRA(了ABSTRACT ABSTRA(了 ABSTRACT Railway passengers flow forecasting is all important basis of passenger traffic organizing and an effective way for the passenger traffic enterprise to grasp the trends and demand of transportation manet development． This paper focuses on short-term passenger volume forecasting problem between two cities．The objective is to investigate appropriate forecasting methods in order to guarantee the precision． This paper begins the research work from observing the fluctuation characteristics of short·term passenger railway volume between origination—city and destina